UFC’s Brian Ortega An Underdog Two Years Since Brutal Loss

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Can the UFC’s Brian Ortega (14-1-1) make a comeback after a long absence from the game?

New Jersey sportsbooks peg him as an underdog Saturday night against Chan Sung Jung (16-5), better known as the “Korean Zombie.” It’s expected to be a vicious affair.

The five-round contest could determine who becomes the next challenger to featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski.

Here’s a look at the moneylines at various Garden State sportsbooks.

SportsbookOrtegaZombie
FanDuel+156-194
PointsBet+155-195
DraftKings+160-200
BetMGM+160-193
FOXBet+150-213
Bet365+163-188
888Sport+160-200

There’s not huge variety on Ortega, but Bet365 is your best spot with +163 (38% implied odds). For Zombie, Bet365 is also the book with the best price at -188 (65.3% implied odds).

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The bout is by far the most high-profile fight of the event, set to be held at the Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The undercard kicks off at 4 p.m. EST on ESPN+.

Below is a look at the other fights:

  • Ciryl Gane vs. Ante Delija
  • Jessica Andrade vs. Katlyn Chookagian
  • Jimmy Crute vs. Modestas Bukauskas
  • Thomas Almeida vs. Jonathan Martinez
  • Mateusz Gamrot vs. Guram Kutateladze
  • Gillian Robertson vs. Poliana Botelho
  • James Krause vs. Claudio Silva
  • Jun Yong Park vs. John Phillips
  • Jamie Mullarkey vs. Fares Ziam
  • Maxim Grishin vs. Gadzhmurad Antigulov
  • Said Nurmagomedov vs. Mark Striegl

Other markets on Ortega vs. Zombie

Method of victory is the second most popular wagering arena for UFC fans. Below is a look at the top prices on how the fight will finish for each contender.

Method of victoryOrtegaZombie  
KO/TKO+900 (888Sport)+125 (FD, FOX Bet)
Decision+750 (FD, FOX Bet)+400 (BetMGM, Bet365)
Submission+333 (FOX Bet)+1400 (FD, FOX Bet, 888)

Ortega, a world-class jiu-jitsu black belt, is one of the best submission specialists in the UFC, and bookmakers agree that a submission is by far his most likely route to victory.

Still, Zombie is no slouch on the ground. He has eight submission wins and has never been submitted himself. Ortega has seven submission wins on his resume.

Ortega has shown prowess with his hands, most recently losing a brutal slugfest with former featherweight champion Max Holloway in December 2018. Ortega lost that bout convincingly in the boxing department, something he reportedly has sharpened during his nearly two-year hiatus. There could be some value on Ortega by decision or even by KO/TKO. Both Ortega and Zombie have knocked out Frankie Edgar in the first round, if you’re looking for a common opponent.

Zombie’s +125 price on a KO/TKO seems less attractive than his odds to win by decision. Ortega has proven his ability to withstand a beating and continue competing.

Ortega absorbed a whopping 244 significant strikes to the head against Holloway before the fight was called off between rounds.

Most books have the fight as a roughly +200 underdog to go to the judges, compared with about -300 for a stoppage. On paper, it’s expected to be a barn burner. It’s unlikely to disappoint.

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Brian Pempus

Brian served as a senior reporter and online content manager for Card Player Magazine for nearly a decade before joining USBets in October 2018. He is currently focused on legal and regulated sports betting and online gaming. He's an avid jiu-jitsu practitioner in his free time.

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